The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
JUNE 2007 KEY POINTS
Trend
The June 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (86 887) increased 0.1% when compared with the May 2007 estimate. The trend estimate has now been increasing for 13 consecutive months. When compared to June 2006, the trend estimate increased by 9.1%.
Sports utility vehicles increased 0.5% and other vehicles increased 0.1% when comparing June 2007 to May 2007. The increases in trend estimates for the two vehicle types have continued for periods of 12 months and 9 months, respectively. Passenger vehicles, however, have decreased by 0.1% when comparing June 2007 to May 2007. This is the first monthly decrease for passenger vehicle trend estimates since April 2006.
When compared to the same period 12 months ago, all vehicle types have recorded increases. Sports utility vehicles, other vehicles and passenger vehicles rose 15.1%, 8.9% and 7.5% respectively.
Seasonally adjusted
The June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (87 440) increased by 2.2% compared with May 2007. Passenger vehicles increased by 3.3% and sports utility vehicles increased 1.5%. Other vehicles decreased 0.5%.
Total sales increased in all states and territories when comparing June 2007 to May 2007, with Tasmania recording the largest increase of 4.7%. New South Wales and Victoria showed the next highest increases, 3.5% and 2.7% respectively.
New motor vehicles sales June 2007
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 26 846 | 22 198 | 19 409 | 5 079 | 10 076 | 1 610 | 829 | 1 393 | 87 440 |
Trend | 26 563 | 21 920 | 19 477 | 5 096 | 10 004 | 1 590 | 830 | 1 407 | 86 887 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 3.5 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2.2 |
Trend | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 12.1 | 15.1 | 10.7 | 1.0 | 10.9 | -4.2 | 9.1 | 12.7 | 11.3 |
Trend | 10.5 | 9.2 | 10.5 | -0.3 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 9.9 | 18.2 | 9.1 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE |
| |
July 2007 | 21 August 2007 |
August 2007 | 21 September 2007 |
September 2007 | 19 October 2007 |
October 2007 | 21 November 2007 |
November 2007 | 21 December 2007 |
December 2007 | 22 January 2008 |
WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES
The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.
1 | | The July 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
2 | | The July 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
|
| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) |
|
Original |
|
2006 | April | 42 307 | 11 901 | 14 442 | 68 650 | -20.5 | -25.1 | -20.1 | -21.2 |
| May | 50 683 | 14 816 | 17 958 | 83 457 | 19.8 | 24.5 | 24.3 | 21.6 |
| June | 57 026 | 18 079 | 21 343 | 96 448 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 15.6 |
| July | 48 798 | 13 279 | 15 485 | 77 562 | -14.4 | -26.6 | -27.4 | -19.6 |
| August | 52 030 | 13 539 | 16 092 | 81 661 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| September | 51 388 | 13 208 | 15 397 | 79 993 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -4.3 | -2.0 |
| October | 50 532 | 13 921 | 15 477 | 79 930 | -1.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 | -0.1 |
| November | 51 850 | 15 193 | 16 254 | 83 297 | 2.6 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| December | 48 348 | 14 258 | 14 457 | 77 063 | -6.8 | -6.2 | -11.1 | -7.5 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 49 189 | 14 303 | 13 444 | 76 936 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -7.0 | -0.2 |
| February | 52 628 | 14 912 | 16 200 | 83 740 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 20.5 | 8.8 |
| March | 57 757 | 17 589 | 19 046 | 94 392 | 9.7 | 18.0 | 17.6 | 12.7 |
| April | 45 109 | 14 274 | 16 231 | 75 614 | -21.9 | -18.8 | -14.8 | -19.9 |
| May | 52 727 | 16 912 | 18 958 | 88 597 | 16.9 | 18.5 | 16.8 | 17.2 |
| June | 63 768 | 18 966 | 22 363 | 105 097 | 20.9 | 12.1 | 18.0 | 18.6 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2006 | April | 49 760 | 13 829 | 16 185 | 79 774 | 2.8 | -0.5 | -1.2 | 1.4 |
| May | 49 776 | 14 024 | 16 407 | 80 207 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| June | 48 455 | 14 437 | 15 670 | 78 562 | -2.7 | 2.9 | -4.5 | -2.1 |
| July | 50 793 | 14 120 | 16 111 | 81 024 | 4.8 | -2.2 | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| August | 50 322 | 13 116 | 15 945 | 79 383 | -0.9 | -7.1 | -1.0 | -2.0 |
| September | 50 821 | 14 538 | 16 009 | 81 368 | 1.0 | 10.8 | 0.4 | 2.5 |
| October | 50 434 | 15 017 | 16 326 | 81 777 | -0.8 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| November | 50 540 | 14 868 | 16 077 | 81 485 | 0.2 | -1.0 | -1.5 | -0.4 |
| December | 51 596 | 14 840 | 15 692 | 82 128 | 2.1 | -0.2 | -2.4 | 0.8 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 54 298 | 15 324 | 16 976 | 86 598 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 8.2 | 5.4 |
| February | 53 719 | 15 457 | 17 255 | 86 431 | -1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | -0.2 |
| March | 53 880 | 15 587 | 17 535 | 87 002 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| April | 52 156 | 16 341 | 17 449 | 85 946 | -3.2 | 4.8 | -0.5 | -1.2 |
| May | 52 611 | 15 692 | 17 270 | 85 573 | 0.9 | -4.0 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| June | 54 332 | 15 929 | 17 179 | 87 440 | 3.3 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 2.2 |
|
Trend |
|
2006 | April | 49 327 | 14 014 | 16 264 | 79 605 | -0.1 | -0.6 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| May | 49 412 | 13 935 | 16 116 | 79 463 | 0.2 | -0.6 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| June | 49 649 | 13 935 | 16 040 | 79 624 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 0.2 |
| July | 49 900 | 14 012 | 15 998 | 79 910 | 0.5 | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.4 |
| August | 50 140 | 14 138 | 15 971 | 80 249 | 0.5 | 0.9 | -0.2 | 0.4 |
| September | 50 416 | 14 321 | 15 969 | 80 706 | 0.6 | 1.3 | -0.0 | 0.6 |
| October | 50 873 | 14 545 | 16 028 | 81 446 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| November | 51 520 | 14 808 | 16 182 | 82 510 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| December | 52 192 | 15 080 | 16 431 | 83 703 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 52 765 | 15 314 | 16 726 | 84 805 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| February | 53 166 | 15 496 | 17 015 | 85 677 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| March | 53 345 | 15 668 | 17 238 | 86 251 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| April | 53 392 | 15 829 | 17 375 | 86 596 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| May | 53 417 | 15 953 | 17 446 | 86 816 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| June | 53 384 | 16 034 | 17 469 | 86 887 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
|
| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) |
|
Original |
|
2006 | April | 21 171 | 17 636 | 14 820 | 4 619 | 7 507 | 1 129 | 764 | 1 004 | 68 650 |
| May | 25 124 | 20 776 | 18 774 | 5 601 | 9 472 | 1 623 | 863 | 1 224 | 83 457 |
| June | 28 560 | 23 015 | 23 091 | 6 164 | 11 170 | 1 936 | 1 058 | 1 454 | 96 448 |
| July | 23 688 | 19 322 | 17 910 | 4 794 | 8 720 | 1 334 | 679 | 1 115 | 77 562 |
| August | 24 223 | 21 043 | 18 124 | 5 107 | 9 736 | 1 436 | 768 | 1 224 | 81 661 |
| September | 24 267 | 20 449 | 17 061 | 4 903 | 9 716 | 1 688 | 682 | 1 227 | 79 993 |
| October | 24 379 | 20 785 | 16 625 | 4 781 | 9 591 | 1 797 | 762 | 1 210 | 79 930 |
| November | 25 418 | 20 739 | 18 076 | 5 116 | 9 972 | 1 973 | 733 | 1 270 | 83 297 |
| December | 22 927 | 19 790 | 16 551 | 4 700 | 9 471 | 1 748 | 688 | 1 188 | 77 063 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 24 429 | 19 000 | 16 769 | 4 620 | 8 929 | 1 285 | 651 | 1 253 | 76 936 |
| February | 25 636 | 21 510 | 18 221 | 5 138 | 9 625 | 1 463 | 771 | 1 376 | 83 740 |
| March | 29 107 | 23 408 | 21 772 | 5 588 | 10 530 | 1 533 | 978 | 1 476 | 94 392 |
| April | 23 245 | 18 833 | 16 907 | 4 616 | 8 701 | 1 214 | 883 | 1 215 | 75 614 |
| May | 26 649 | 22 151 | 20 428 | 5 237 | 10 172 | 1 587 | 973 | 1 400 | 88 597 |
| June | 31 965 | 25 491 | 24 997 | 6 152 | 11 995 | 1 750 | 1 107 | 1 640 | 105 097 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2006 | April | 24 221 | 20 581 | 17 355 | 5 285 | 8 873 | 1 520 | 744 | 1 195 | 79 774 |
| May | 24 108 | 20 213 | 17 787 | 5 305 | 9 281 | 1 615 | 744 | 1 154 | 80 207 |
| June | 23 946 | 19 289 | 17 536 | 5 030 | 9 085 | 1 680 | 760 | 1 236 | 78 562 |
| July | 24 181 | 20 487 | 18 330 | 5 112 | 9 491 | 1 513 | 740 | 1 170 | 81 024 |
| August | 23 939 | 20 329 | 17 217 | 4 944 | 9 536 | 1 421 | 800 | 1 197 | 79 383 |
| September | 24 672 | 20 754 | 17 564 | 5 028 | 9 661 | 1 678 | 766 | 1 245 | 81 368 |
| October | 25 144 | 20 503 | 17 891 | 4 902 | 9 641 | 1 657 | 834 | 1 205 | 81 777 |
| November | 24 858 | 19 988 | 18 386 | 4 962 | 9 597 | 1 658 | 767 | 1 269 | 81 485 |
| December | 25 063 | 20 373 | 18 602 | 4 841 | 9 785 | 1 410 | 803 | 1 251 | 82 128 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 26 723 | 21 761 | 19 039 | 5 402 | 9 938 | 1 562 | 839 | 1 334 | 86 598 |
| February | 25 967 | 22 197 | 19 093 | 5 209 | 10 025 | 1 715 | 829 | 1 396 | 86 431 |
| March | 26 625 | 21 957 | 19 567 | 5 263 | 9 777 | 1 596 | 829 | 1 388 | 87 002 |
| April | 26 473 | 21 224 | 19 258 | 5 183 | 10 009 | 1 551 | 844 | 1 404 | 85 946 |
| May | 25 927 | 21 616 | 19 393 | 4 978 | 9 924 | 1 537 | 818 | 1 380 | 85 573 |
| June | 26 846 | 22 198 | 19 409 | 5 079 | 10 076 | 1 610 | 829 | 1 393 | 87 440 |
|
Trend |
|
2006 | April | 24 317 | 20 145 | 17 543 | 5 145 | 8 917 | 1 586 | 760 | 1 192 | 79 605 |
| May | 24 108 | 20 035 | 17 588 | 5 132 | 9 080 | 1 577 | 754 | 1 189 | 79 463 |
| June | 24 040 | 20 078 | 17 623 | 5 113 | 9 253 | 1 572 | 755 | 1 190 | 79 624 |
| July | 24 089 | 20 166 | 17 651 | 5 069 | 9 401 | 1 577 | 762 | 1 195 | 79 910 |
| August | 24 250 | 20 229 | 17 698 | 5 009 | 9 510 | 1 579 | 772 | 1 202 | 80 249 |
| September | 24 495 | 20 295 | 17 787 | 4 960 | 9 592 | 1 579 | 784 | 1 214 | 80 706 |
| October | 24 812 | 20 435 | 17 977 | 4 952 | 9 664 | 1 582 | 793 | 1 231 | 81 446 |
| November | 25 198 | 20 671 | 18 263 | 4 998 | 9 732 | 1 587 | 803 | 1 258 | 82 510 |
| December | 25 585 | 20 952 | 18 603 | 5 071 | 9 795 | 1 591 | 813 | 1 293 | 83 703 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 25 913 | 21 251 | 18 918 | 5 140 | 9 848 | 1 588 | 819 | 1 328 | 84 805 |
| February | 26 155 | 21 530 | 19 143 | 5 184 | 9 897 | 1 584 | 826 | 1 358 | 85 677 |
| March | 26 326 | 21 724 | 19 282 | 5 190 | 9 934 | 1 586 | 829 | 1 380 | 86 251 |
| April | 26 443 | 21 832 | 19 378 | 5 168 | 9 962 | 1 587 | 831 | 1 395 | 86 596 |
| May | 26 527 | 21 903 | 19 442 | 5 133 | 9 990 | 1 586 | 833 | 1 402 | 86 816 |
| June | 26 563 | 21 920 | 19 477 | 5 096 | 10 004 | 1 590 | 830 | 1 407 | 86 887 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. |